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Red70
81631.9
30413.9
Blue25
36520.6
44414.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374202060801001201407025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
31.94.1
19.123.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
365
Unranked
20.61.8
24.322.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
304
Unranked
13.94.1
18.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
444
Unranked
14.42.1
17.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End