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Qual 162004 Philadelphia Regional
Red75
10336.0
7529.3
Blue105
14524.5
80934.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7647010015075105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
36.00.2
40.4→40.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
809
Unranked
34.04.5
35.0→39.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
75
Unranked
29.30.2
32.3→32.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
145
Unranked
24.56.8
15.5→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—