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Red20
44414.4
81631.9
Blue20
30413.9
36520.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060801001201402020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
365
Unranked
20.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
444
Unranked
14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
304
Unranked
13.9
Auto
Teleop
End