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Red60
20415.2
28433.5
Blue25
81631.9
36520.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434602060801001201401606025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
284
Unranked
33.52.1
33.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
816
Unranked
31.92.6
23.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
15.21.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
365
Unranked
20.62.1
22.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End