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Red20
81017.1
81631.9
Blue35
4339.9
35838.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24640501001502035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
31.91.0
20.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
358
Unranked
38.81.9
36.134.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
810
Unranked
17.10.6
7.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
433
Unranked
9.93.1
23.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End