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Red30
48714.1
28433.5
Blue125
65130.7
48444.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5089015020025030125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
284
Unranked
33.53.0
33.030.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
484
Unranked
44.65.1
40.945.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
487
Unranked
14.13.0
20.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
651
Unranked
30.73.4
43.747.0
Auto
Teleop
End