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Red40
14524.5
83422.5
Blue15
61817.8
138428.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364401001502004015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
Unranked
24.50.4
23.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1384
Unranked
28.63.5
22.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
834
Unranked
22.50.4
13.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
618
Unranked
17.83.5
20.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End