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Red130
65130.7
35838.8
Blue105
5664.4
61817.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666620406080100120130105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
38.85.9
34.940.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.5
56
Unranked
64.44.3
47.151.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
651
Unranked
30.77.5
31.238.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
618
Unranked
17.84.9
18.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End