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Red5
13949.9
44414.4
Blue35
20415.2
61817.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35260206080100535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
444
Unranked
14.43.6
17.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
618
Unranked
17.81.0
17.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1394
Unranked
9.93.6
17.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
204
Unranked
15.20.6
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End