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Red190
5664.4
139140.3
Blue70
14524.5
31640.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12452010015020025019070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
64.45.5
67.873.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
316
Unranked
40.81.3
36.037.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
Unranked
40.35.5
48.453.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
145
Unranked
24.51.3
23.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End