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Red15
61817.8
4339.9
Blue105
70810.9
22447.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3358010015020015105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
618
Unranked
17.82.4
18.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.2
224
Unranked
47.03.8
47.751.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
433
Unranked
9.92.6
17.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
708
Unranked
10.95.8
7.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End