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Red30
13949.9
65130.7
Blue35
44414.4
32124.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239020801001201403035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
30.72.2
46.544.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
321
Unranked
24.70.8
27.927.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1394
Unranked
9.93.5
13.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
444
Unranked
14.40.8
13.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End