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Red80
10336.0
48444.6
Blue105
121835.4
31640.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846705010015080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
Unranked
44.60.2
46.045.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
316
Unranked
40.84.2
37.241.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
103
Unranked
36.00.1
35.835.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1218
Unranked
35.42.7
31.934.6
Auto
Teleop
End