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Red70
48651.9
70919.8
Blue25
114341.1
22447.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5936020801001201401607025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
51.91.3
36.738.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
224
Unranked
47.01.5
24.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
709
Unranked
19.81.4
20.021.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
1143
Unranked
41.11.7
13.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End