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Red100
35838.8
36520.6
Blue40
10424.7
70919.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59440208010012014016010040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
38.83.2
39.943.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
104
Unranked
24.70.7
25.424.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
Unranked
20.63.2
17.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
709
Unranked
19.80.4
20.219.8
Auto
Teleop
End