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Red120
31640.8
121835.4
Blue140
22264.2
28433.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71117050100150200250120140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
40.84.8
41.446.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.4
222
Unranked
64.22.1
76.378.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
35.43.3
34.637.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
284
Unranked
33.53.0
35.838.8
Auto
Teleop
End