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Semifinal 2-22004 Philadelphia Regional
Red95
5664.4
139140.3
80934.0
Blue40
48651.9
22264.2
65130.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461810501002002503003504009540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
64.41.4
68.0→66.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
222
Unranked
64.23.4
74.4→70.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1391
Unranked
40.31.4
43.9→42.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.7
486
Unranked
51.93.4
62.1→58.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
809
Unranked
34.01.4
37.6→36.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
651
Unranked
30.73.4
40.8→37.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—