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Red60
103031.8
116810.4
Blue15
103410.1
1178.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27130204060801001201406015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1030
Unranked
31.84.3
9.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
1034
Unranked
10.10.1
4.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1168
Unranked
10.44.3
15.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
117
Unranked
8.40.1
10.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End