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Red15
1178.4
30641.1
Blue20
124310.1
29116.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353802060801001201401601520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
41.12.5
25.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.6
291
Unranked
16.52.3
16.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
117
Unranked
8.42.5
10.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1243
Unranked
10.12.3
21.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End