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Red50
18822.3
48636.7
Blue65
80838.6
12820.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453701001502005065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
36.70.7
21.922.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
808
Unranked
38.63.3
19.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
188
Unranked
22.30.7
22.323.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
128
Unranked
20.73.3
19.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End