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Red50
78321.8
111423.2
Blue15
18822.3
1205.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32370501001502005015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
23.22.2
23.325.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
188
Unranked
22.32.7
28.926.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
783
Unranked
21.82.2
9.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
120
Unranked
5.62.7
7.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End