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Red15
38222.2
103410.1
Blue35
57816.4
1178.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452001001501535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
382
Unranked
22.23.4
27.323.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
578
Unranked
16.41.5
14.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1034
Unranked
10.13.4
14.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
117
Unranked
8.41.5
8.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End