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Red60
78321.8
48636.7
Blue30
24723.5
57816.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49300204060801001201401606030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
36.71.6
34.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
247
Unranked
23.50.3
16.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
783
Unranked
21.81.6
13.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
578
Unranked
16.40.3
16.115.9
Auto
Teleop
End