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Red35
29116.5
77225.9
Blue20
30121.5
10359.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403002060801001201403520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
Unranked
25.90.4
22.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
301
Unranked
21.51.4
18.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
291
Unranked
16.50.4
16.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1035
Unranked
9.81.4
12.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End