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Red45
20410.5
8431.2
Blue30
12820.7
18822.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33480204060801001201404530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84
Unranked
31.21.1
25.626.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
188
Unranked
22.31.8
24.122.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
10.51.1
9.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
128
Unranked
20.71.9
22.620.7
Auto
Teleop
End