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Red125
75351.4
115128.9
Blue80
25452.9
48020.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5444010015020025012580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
Unranked
51.47.2
33.941.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
254
Unranked
52.94.4
28.432.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1151
Unranked
28.97.2
18.826.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
480
Unranked
20.34.4
16.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End