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Red15
142527.1
145813.6
Blue30
109713.9
138820.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364002060801001530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
Unranked
27.11.8
19.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1388
Unranked
20.61.2
30.128.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
Unranked
13.62.7
17.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1097
Unranked
13.91.2
9.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End