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Red50
25452.9
114711.5
Blue45
145813.6
95525.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5540020801001201401605045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
52.90.4
35.435.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.9
955
Unranked
25.00.3
26.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1147
Unranked
11.50.4
17.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1458
Unranked
13.60.5
14.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End