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Red50
96128.2
107218.2
Blue0
145813.6
114711.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4626020406080100120500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
961
Unranked
28.20.8
30.431.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
1458
Unranked
13.63.5
15.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
Unranked
18.20.8
13.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1147
Unranked
11.53.5
13.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End