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Red50
59921.3
138716.8
Blue40
86930.0
9817.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384002060805040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
Unranked
21.31.3
22.523.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
869
Unranked
30.00.0
30.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1387
Unranked
16.81.3
15.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
981
Unranked
7.90.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End