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Red150
112033.1
94563.3
48117.4
Blue125
83548.7
86930.0
107218.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11791050150200250150125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
Unranked
63.30.9
63.464.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
835
Unranked
48.70.8
47.948.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1120
Unranked
33.11.2
33.334.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
869
Unranked
30.00.8
29.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
481
Unranked
17.41.2
17.618.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1072
Unranked
18.21.1
17.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End