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Red45
122515.2
105146.7
Blue100
12226.6
28140.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059020408010012045100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
Unranked
46.71.5
48.246.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
281
Unranked
40.95.1
30.735.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1225
Unranked
15.21.9
11.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
122
Unranked
26.63.1
28.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End