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Red25
16820.2
39323.8
Blue70
43536.6
66528.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527401001502002570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
393
Unranked
23.82.4
21.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
435
Unranked
36.60.2
34.434.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
168
Unranked
20.22.7
32.630.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
665
Unranked
28.10.1
37.337.2
Auto
Teleop
End