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Red50
41525.3
27131.2
Blue95
542.5
105146.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409601502005095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
31.20.3
23.123.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
1051
Unranked
46.70.4
43.944.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
415
Unranked
25.30.5
23.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
5
Unranked
42.50.4
45.746.1
Auto
Teleop
End