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Red80
18024.7
41525.3
Blue35
9515.9
122515.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060801008035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
415
Unranked
25.34.1
23.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
95
Unranked
15.90.1
24.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
180
Unranked
24.72.5
23.726.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1225
Unranked
15.20.2
11.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End