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Red35
102814.7
9084.9
Blue125
33719.1
84543.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21580408010012014016035125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1028
Unranked
14.70.9
12.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.5
845
Unranked
43.25.3
39.945.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
908
Unranked
4.91.3
12.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
337
Unranked
19.17.1
13.820.9
Auto
Teleop
End