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Red50
39323.8
28140.9
Blue25
34226.0
16820.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666002040801001205025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
40.91.4
44.142.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
342
Unranked
26.04.5
32.928.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
393
Unranked
23.81.2
21.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
168
Unranked
20.22.7
27.825.1
Auto
Teleop
End