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Red25
2114.4
102623.9
Blue125
12226.6
27131.2
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39550208010012014025125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1026
Unranked
23.92.0
21.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
271
Unranked
31.25.4
23.228.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21
Unranked
14.41.2
19.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
122
Unranked
26.65.4
30.135.5
Auto
Teleop
End