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Red80
128720.3
130239.1
Blue55
102814.7
128415.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6220040801001201401608055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
Unranked
39.11.7
40.141.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
1284
Unranked
15.93.8
12.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1287
Unranked
20.32.6
17.720.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1028
Unranked
14.72.3
12.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End