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Red70
27131.2
122515.2
Blue25
133618.4
131931.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426101001502007025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
31.22.0
32.033.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1319
Unranked
31.02.5
36.533.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1225
Unranked
15.23.3
12.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1336
Unranked
18.43.9
22.418.4
Auto
Teleop
End