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Red50
27131.2
130239.1
9515.9
Blue30
39323.8
43317.2
78034.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96780501502005030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
Unranked
39.11.1
41.840.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
780
Unranked
34.81.8
36.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
31.21.1
33.932.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
393
Unranked
23.81.3
25.123.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
95
Unranked
15.91.1
18.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
433
Unranked
17.21.3
18.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End