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Red130
11441.2
4740.2
109722.7
Blue135
135130.1
56819.0
112026.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11087050150200250130135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
Unranked
41.20.6
42.342.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1351
Unranked
30.11.6
35.136.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47
Unranked
40.20.6
41.341.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1120
Unranked
26.81.1
30.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1097
Unranked
22.70.6
23.824.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
568
Unranked
19.01.8
24.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End