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Red20
58130.0
95415.1
Blue15
66813.2
109722.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263104060801001201401602015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
Unranked
30.00.8
15.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1097
Unranked
22.71.5
13.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
954
Unranked
15.10.8
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
668
Unranked
13.21.9
16.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End