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Red30
7519.5
103140.6
Blue70
3746.5
81449.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60370501001502003070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1031
Unranked
40.62.5
47.144.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
814
Unranked
49.23.8
26.430.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
751
Unranked
9.53.4
10.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
374
Unranked
6.53.8
12.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End