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Red20
142219.2
25812.7
Blue25
19216.9
66813.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403402060801001201402025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1422
Unranked
19.22.4
21.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
192
Unranked
16.90.9
20.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
258
Unranked
12.72.4
18.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
668
Unranked
13.21.2
14.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End