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Red10
76614.4
95323.9
Blue0
109722.7
14574.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2726020406080100120100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
953
Unranked
23.92.1
13.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1097
Unranked
22.72.4
12.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
766
Unranked
14.42.1
12.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1457
Unranked
4.53.3
13.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End