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Red120
81449.2
84034.3
Blue40
47347.6
85242.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5991015020025030012040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
814
Unranked
49.27.2
30.337.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
473
Unranked
47.64.3
44.440.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
840
Unranked
34.37.2
32.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
852
Unranked
42.25.9
42.836.9
Auto
Teleop
End