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Red105
81449.2
145819.6
Blue110
107225.8
97142.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62600204080100120140105110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
814
Unranked
49.25.6
42.448.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
971
Unranked
42.06.0
38.244.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
Unranked
19.63.4
17.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1072
Unranked
25.83.6
23.527.2
Auto
Teleop
End