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Red70
25469.6
109722.7
Blue95
11441.2
128027.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103700501502002507095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
69.62.2
73.871.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.4
114
Unranked
41.21.6
40.742.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1097
Unranked
22.72.2
26.023.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1280
Unranked
27.22.7
32.835.5
Auto
Teleop
End