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Red130
81449.2
85242.2
Blue20
70117.9
3746.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39250608010012014016013020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
814
Unranked
49.211.5
14.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.3
701
Unranked
17.90.7
13.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
852
Unranked
42.211.5
22.734.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.7
374
Unranked
6.50.9
13.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End